MyMysticDay data study · U.S. births, 1994–2014
Your zodiac sign
might be wrong.
A fixed zodiac date table can fail on 18 calendar dates around the twelve annual sign changes. We joined 21 years of U.S. daily birth counts to a 106-year census of the Sun and found how many birthdays actually need a closer calculation.
U.S. births in the dataset fell on a date when the Sun sign can depend on the year — and sometimes the birth time.
The finding
The “cusp” is not rare.
It is a calendar problem.
A tropical year is not exactly 365 days. The instant the Sun enters a new sign shifts across the leap-year cycle, while popular date tables print one fixed answer. Across the 106-year census, that shortcut is insufficient on 18 dates around the twelve annual transitions.
boundary-date births
out of 85,386,227 reported births in the combined 1994–2014 dataset.
of all births studied
or approximately one birthday in every 20.1.
births in an average year
during this 21-year period occurred on one of the 18 year-dependent dates.
years of Sun positions
calculated from 1930 through 2035 for every boundary date.
Check your birthday
Were you born on one of the 18 dates?
If not, this particular fixed-date problem does not affect your Sun sign. If yes, open the year-by-year calculation before accepting a label from a generic date table.
All 18 dates
Where the fixed date table breaks.
Birth counts cover 1994–2014. The sign counts show the Sun at 12:00 UTC across 1930–2035; “ingress years” counts years when the Sun changed sign during that UTC date.
| Date | Possible Sun signs | U.S. births | Sun at noon UTC, 1930–2035 | Ingress on date | Open date calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 20 | Capricorn/ Aquarius | 227,3240.266% of dataset | Capricorn 54 yearsAquarius 52 years | 88 of 106 years | Year by year |
| February 18 | Aquarius/ Pisces | 229,7430.269% of dataset | Aquarius 101 yearsPisces 5 years | 42 of 106 years | Year by year |
| February 19 | Aquarius/ Pisces | 224,1300.262% of dataset | Aquarius 16 yearsPisces 90 years | 64 of 106 years | Year by year |
| March 20 | Pisces/ Aries | 231,0700.271% of dataset | Pisces 84 yearsAries 22 years | 71 of 106 years | Year by year |
| March 21 | Pisces/ Aries | 234,8080.275% of dataset | Pisces 3 yearsAries 103 years | 35 of 106 years | Year by year |
| April 20 | Aries/ Taurus | 224,9900.263% of dataset | Aries 32 yearsTaurus 74 years | 78 of 106 years | Year by year |
| May 20 | Taurus/ Gemini | 235,0480.275% of dataset | Taurus 105 yearsGemini 1 years | 28 of 106 years | Year by year |
| May 21 | Taurus/ Gemini | 236,3390.277% of dataset | Taurus 28 yearsGemini 78 years | 76 of 106 years | Year by year |
| June 21 | Gemini/ Cancer | 237,2560.278% of dataset | Gemini 64 yearsCancer 42 years | 82 of 106 years | Year by year |
| July 22 | Cancer/ Leo | 245,4110.287% of dataset | Cancer 97 yearsLeo 9 years | 48 of 106 years | Year by year |
| July 23 | Cancer/ Leo | 245,6700.288% of dataset | Cancer 15 yearsLeo 91 years | 58 of 106 years | Year by year |
| August 23 | Leo/ Virgo | 244,7640.287% of dataset | Leo 36 yearsVirgo 70 years | 80 of 106 years | Year by year |
| September 22 | Virgo/ Libra | 250,3100.293% of dataset | Virgo 104 yearsLibra 2 years | 29 of 106 years | Year by year |
| September 23 | Virgo/ Libra | 251,4470.294% of dataset | Virgo 26 yearsLibra 80 years | 76 of 106 years | Year by year |
| October 23 | Libra/ Scorpio | 231,9650.272% of dataset | Libra 66 yearsScorpio 40 years | 83 of 106 years | Year by year |
| November 22 | Scorpio/ Sagittarius | 223,9510.262% of dataset | Scorpio 54 yearsSagittarius 52 years | 88 of 106 years | Year by year |
| December 21 | Sagittarius/ Capricorn | 245,2700.287% of dataset | Sagittarius 99 yearsCapricorn 7 years | 47 of 106 years | Year by year |
| December 22 | Sagittarius/ Capricorn | 239,1550.280% of dataset | Sagittarius 14 yearsCapricorn 92 years | 59 of 106 years | Year by year |
The noon tally is a consistent census marker, not a substitute for a person’s birth time. On an ingress day, the Sun can occupy the earlier sign at one hour and the later sign at another.
What the result means
One strong conclusion.
Four important limits.
The evidence supports a specific claim: millions of birthdays in this dataset fall on dates for which the usual one-line zodiac calendar is not a reliable calculation.
A date table can be insufficient.
For 18 calendar dates around the twelve annual ingresses, the Sun’s sign changes across the 106-year census. Year, time, and place are therefore relevant to the exact answer.
That every boundary birthday is mislabeled.
Many fixed-table answers will be right. The study measures exposure to ambiguity, not individual error.
That cusp births have two Sun signs.
The boundary is an instant. A person’s Sun is on one side or the other, even when the calendar date cannot tell us which.
That a Sun sign proves personality.
The calculation establishes an astronomical coordinate inside the tropical system. Interpretation is a separate astrological tradition.
That tropical and sidereal charts agree.
This analysis uses the tropical zodiac consistently. Sidereal astrology uses a different reference origin and produces different positions.
Reproducible methodology
How the number was built.
Every transformation is stated, the overlap between sources is removed, and the journalist-ready extract is downloadable below.
- 01
Test dates around all twelve ingresses
Start with the date before, the conventional date, and the date after every tropical sign change. Keep a date only when its noon Sun sign differs across the 106-year census. That produces 18 dates, not an assumed list of twelve.
- 02
Calculate the Sun for 106 years
For every candidate date and every year from 1930 through 2035, calculate apparent solar longitude at 00:00, 12:00 and 23:59 UTC. Locate any sign crossing by bisection.
- 03
Build one non-overlapping birth series
Take CDC/NCHS daily counts for 1994–2003 and SSA daily counts for 2004–2014. Do not include the overlapping SSA years 2000–2003 a second time.
- 04
Aggregate by calendar date
Sum all births by month and day across the 21 unique years. The resulting 366-date file contains 85,386,227 births; February 29 has five observed years.
- 05
Measure the exposed share
Sum births on the 18 year-dependent dates and divide by the full dataset: 4,258,651 ÷ 85,386,227 = 4.9875%.
Birth data
FiveThirtyEight U.S. Births
The repository identifies CDC/NCHS as the source for 1994–2003 and the Social Security Administration as the source for 2000–2014. This study uses SSA only from 2004 onward to remove the overlap.
Open source datasetPrimary documentation
CDC/NCHS Vital Statistics
CDC’s annual vital-statistics release documents live births by day of birth and the natality methods behind the daily records.
Open CDC documentationCalculation
MyMysticDay ephemeris engine
Solar apparent longitude is calculated from the site’s astronomical engine, reduced to the tropical zodiac, and exposed year by year on every linked birthday page.
Read calculation standardsFor editors & journalists
The result, ready to cite.
“In a dataset of 85,386,227 U.S. births from 1994 to 2014, 4,258,651 — 4.99%, or about one in 20 — occurred on one of 18 dates when a fixed zodiac calendar may not settle the Sun sign.”
Please preserve “may not settle” or equivalent wording: the data measures boundary-date births, not confirmed individual misclassification.
Settle the exact degree
A calendar date is not a birth chart.
Enter the date, precise time and place once. The free chart calculates the Sun, Moon, rising sign and every major placement; the personalized report is available after the result if you want the complete interpretation.
- Your Sun From your birth date
- Moon sign Changes every 2½ days
- Rising sign Changes every 2 hours
- Houses & aspects From your exact birth minute